長實趙國雄：過去3年樓價「L形」橫行未來難大跌大升清逾2萬伙貨尾需2年

Squarefoot Editor 2 hours ago posted 254 #Property Hit News

長實（01113）執行董事趙國雄接受傳媒訪問時表示，本港樓價過3年自高位回落後，呈「L形」低位橫行，亦難見動力上升，除非有發展商「爆煲」，否則要樓價不會大跌。現時亦未見銀行將行動升級，料爆煲機會不大。

他表示，現時的樓價大致已見谷底，預料不會再大跌，後市則要看去庫存速度。現時市場上共有現樓貨尾逾2萬伙，屬「不健康」水平，估計需時約兩年方可消化；以近年一手平均成交約1.2萬至1.3萬伙推算，庫存回落至約1.2萬至1.3萬伙，才算健康。

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談到集團買地取態，趙國雄指約7、8年前已轉趨審慎，雖然仍有參與競投，但多次輸個「馬鼻」，令買地量減、賣樓額亦隨之下降。其背後判斷是預見未來幾年新盤供應大增，去庫存期樓價勢要調整，現在是剛好避過。

他表示，長實一貫緊守安全系數與財務紀律，即使樓市大跌三至四成，集團仍可保持穩健，不致蝕本。即便策略保守、借貸成本相對較低，然而上周公布業績所見，賣樓利潤率僅得數個百分比。他指集團現金充裕，未來發展策略依然進取及活躍，強調集團從來未有離開香港市場，仍會本港及內地物色合適投資機會，如個別同業需短期融資，集團亦有能力相助。

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2025-08-18 Squarefoot Editor

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長實趙國雄：過去3年樓價「L形」橫行 未來難大跌大升 清逾2萬伙貨尾需2年

長實趙國雄：過去3年樓價「L形」橫行未來難大跌大升清逾2萬伙貨尾需2年